I think we should look at what Nokia's imaging engineers have said they might look into for the future of their cameras if we want to get an idea of what might be coming our way.. its far fetched, but still way better than all the guess work that's been going around.
From here:
http://www.imagesensors.org/Past Workshops/2013 Workshop/2013 Papers/13-1_071-Alakarhu.pdf
Nokia: "The resolution of future cameras can be extremely high. 808 PureView uses 1.4μm pixel size, 1.1μm is already in mass production, and 0.9μm in the horizon [10]."
Speculation: So, we could see even higher resolutions.. maybe into the 60-80Mpix range at similar sensor sizes like the ones found in the 808/1020, or something along the lines.
Also, they already took the 1.1 micron step with the 1020, its just that they kept the exact same megapixel count because they had to use a smaller sensor. My guess is that if they could've used the same sized sensor as the 808, the pixel count would've gone over 50Mpix
Nokia: "The pixels also need to have extremely well handled crosstalk. For example DTI technology [9] can provide perfect electrical isolation between the pixels."
Speculation: This is very important for BSI sensors, and thus far they haven't figured out how to isolate those 1.1 micron pixels very well. Just look at any samples from Sony Z1/Z2 and you will see it.
The 808 has very low cross talk overall, but that's mainly because it uses an FSI sensor. In front-illuminated (FSI) sensors, fill-factor keeps going down with pixel shrinkage, meaning that they collect less light the smaller they get, which is why if they want to use smaller pixels they have to go BSI.
Here is an example of what I think shows decent (low) cross talk. Small/fine dark lines on a white background usually shows nicely.
100%
as you can see, the level of detail is amazing.. especially considering the size of the camera module it came from. This can rival any P&S camera currently on sale, including the RX100. Most other smartphones make a complete mess out of tine details like that..
I can't find anything on
DTI , but its obviously something that can eliminate crosstalk. I found this
Diffusion Tensor Imaging (DTI) - Fiber Tracking - Imagilys
but I am not sure if its related in any way.
Nokia: "Looking further in to the future, we can go to completely different type of approaches, where the solid state imager can start to behave more like an analog film"
Speculation: luckily there is a reference for that one
"E. Fossum, “Gigapixel Digital Film Sensor (DFS)
Proposal” in Proc. 2005 International Image Sensor
Workshop"
A quick search showed this:
https://www.google.com/patents/US8420996
"The exemplary embodiments of this invention relate to digital camera light sensor technologies, and more specifically to the binary type sensor (“receptor”) with potentially a very high count of pixels (“bit elements”), possibly over 1 billion (“giga”, 1?109)."
So in other words they could be looking into some crazy resolutions for their future cameras.
When talking about oversampling itself:
Nokia:
"It also creates an interesting opportunities for utilizing the pixels in new ways, such as single frame HDR, phase detection for faster autofocus, or spectral sensing."
Speculation: Single frame HDR sounds really exciting. My guess is that there will be enough available pixels from a single frame for the system to gather enough information for a proper HDR. I am not sure how the modern phones do HDR (iPhone 5s, gs5, etc.) but it might be happening already, or they might still be stiching 3-4 photos together in real time.
Phase detection is already happening
Falk Lumo: Comment: Why the new "Dual Pixel AF" will transform the photo industry
but not in smartphones, so we might expect to see it trickle down to smartphone cameras soon.. which would be awesome.
Spectral sensing is probably this:
Multispectral image - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
So I hope we see some of that in the next camera flagship..