Yes, both Bonds and Clemens will make it. Once those two break the barrier (maybe three to four years from now?) then players like A-Rod will get a much larger pass.
Sosa was only a borderline HOF election anyways- I feel he and McGuire will never get in. Pretty ironic, considering how much Baseball pumped up their single season HR chase to help get the fans back after the lock out cost the World Series and their product was at their lowest point. Every indication was that Owners and managers all knew their players were juicing, and encouraged it by their silence because "Chicks dig the Long Ball."
I worry for players like Frank Thomas, who may get that "guilt by association", even though they never were suspected or on any list. Thomas is also a border line HOF, and voters my just punish him because.