How many L920 could have been sold so far in US?

[ac4rumuser]

I have ordered a Cyan L920 and that will add one to the following estimate

Just wanted to get an idea from people about the number of L920 sold in US so far (not necessarily received yet by individuals).

I think there are about 2500 AT&T stores in US. If each store had an initial stock of 10 phones and they all seem to have been sold out, puts the count at 25,000. Assuming three times that (75,000) has been ordered online, total is around 100,000.

Is that number seem right? seem too low for me for such a high end phone.

What are you thoughts?

 

[mparker]

That sounds about right. There was an article here a few days ago talking about AdDuplex statistics (AdDuplex releases Windows 8, Windows Phone usage statistics | Windows Phone Central) that seemed to show the L920 with about 2% of the market and the L900 at around 10% of the market, implying the L920 has sold about 20% of the L900's numbers so far. Since about 400k L900 were sold that puts L920 at around 80k units so far. Obviously these numbers are changing rapidly, and some of those L900 owners are now L920 owners (me, for example) which also distorts the numbers somewhat.

 

[mlm1950]

Not as many as there could have been.

 

[sabotagebx]

wait another week or two and see if a ton of people return their phones because of the issues

 

[lordofthereef]

Without official numbers out there, it's a tough estimate. I, for one, was under the understanding that the L900 had 600k sales in the US, whereas an above poster states 400k. I think a lot of the problem with the 920 is based on terribly low numbers at launch, virtually no advertisement before launch, etc. I can only guess the number of people that we excited for the phone that assumed it was never coming. After all, they introduced it before the iPhone 5 and didn't have a real release date until two months later. What a joke!

 

[supafoo]

That sounds about right. There was an article here a few days ago talking about AdDuplex statistics (AdDuplex releases Windows 8, Windows Phone usage statistics | Windows Phone Central) that seemed to show the L920 with about 2% of the market and the L900 at around 10% of the market, implying the L920 has sold about 20% of the L900's numbers so far. Since about 400k L900 were sold that puts L920 at around 80k units so far. Obviously these numbers are changing rapidly, and some of those L900 owners are now L920 owners (me, for example) which also distorts the numbers somewhat.

Where'd you get your 400k number from. I do remember Nokia Q2 sold 360k alone.

 

[mparker]

Where'd you get your 400k number from. I do remember Nokia Q2 sold 360k alone.

It's an estimate, but I think a reasonably good one.

The L900 came out at the start of Q2. The bad news about no upgrades came in early Q3, and the rumors about it were being discussed on the various tech forums even earlier. So it's reasonable to believe that the bulk of the L900 sales would have been in Q2.

Here's Nokia's Q2 report:

http://www.results.nokia.com/results/Nokia_results2012Q2e.pdf

It says 600k total mobile units sold in Q2 in the US. That's all Nokia phones - 900, 800, 710 plus whatever remnant Symbians were left in stock. I assumed the 900 sold a bit over half of that number (350k, maybe a bit pessimistic, but the 710 was one of T-Mobile's best selling models during that period), plus maybe another 50k in the next quarter (probably very optimistic) = ~400k in the US.

Even if you assume that 600k L900's sold in the US it doesn't change the estimate for L920's very much, it means approx 120k L920's instead of 100k. Which is pretty meaningless compared with the inherent uncertainty in the AdDuplex numbers.

 

[larrynj]

I think it was 678,453 orders. 53 actually delivered. :lol: