a5cent
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- Nov 3, 2011
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Nope.Not true. Some in the early days of tech always stated that there would never be a need for the upcoming parts that were going to change the game. Those people have been wrong every single time. Dont need more than 640k memory, dont need more than 1ghz processors, dont need more than a p4EE at 3.73ghz, dont need more than 2 cores, dont need more than 4 cores....it just keeps going over and over.
Then I would ask you again why we aren't all using 48 core CPU's today? As I indicated in an earlier post, such CPU's have been around for quite some time. If having more cores is always better, then where are they? It's completely unlike the MHz race were Intel hit a wall and just couldn't economically clock any higher. Those 48 core CPUs physically exist and have for years.
They are huge. Would not fit in a phone. Last one of those I saw was the size of a guys palm. That will not fit in a phone. Barely in a tablet. Also as you stated, it costs more money to design more core chips. More circuitry and all around engineering to get more cores into the same low power envelope. Need smaller fab process to help.
I'll finish by restating my question, but first this:
a)
I may be mistaken, but I think we were both discussing desktop-, not smartphone CPUs (p4EE), when I asked that question. Although not strictly necessary to make my point, I expect this to be a simpler discussion if we ignore the added constraints that come with mobile CPU's for now.
b)
The article I previously linked to clearly states that Intel's 48 core CPU integrates around 1.3 billion transistors. That is about as many transistors as a modern day ivy bridge CPU... a rather small chip which is easily usable in tablets.
c)
I can't be certain (I don't manage DARPA's research project portfolio), but I highly doubt we're capable of mass producing integrated circuits the size of mens palms. As far as I know, anything above 30mm x 30mm is ruled out simply due to reticle limits, but even if that wasn't so, exorbitant production costs and the enormous power and cooling requirements would foil our plan.
So, a modern version of Intel's 48-core x86 CPU (originally released in 2010) would be equal in size to a run of the mill ivy bridge, and could be sold to consumers for around $200. Unfortunately, our consumer motherboards lack compatible sockets, but beyond that nothing is prevent us from fitting that core-monster of a CPU into our desktops. So, again, why haven't we already got that in our systems? If more cores is the be-all-end-all to computing performance, why aren't we already using that?
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