Ha, well, "the world behaves illogically and doesn't make sense" is as effective of counterargument as any I've seen!
So I got exactly the answer you predicted I would... serves me right... lol :wink:
Basically, you say "because this and this and this, here is the result." And, what you say is very logical, which is why I say I agree with you in theory. But it doesn't work that way (often).
It always works that way. I'll skip the details, but just say that IMHO your approach is no different from mine at all. You also have logical reasons for thinking that universal apps aren't going anywhere. You too have a mental model where you say this and this will lead to that outcome... specifically, you're saying that iOS' and Android's market positions are so overpowering, that nothing MS does has any chance of being relevant. That seems like a logical argument to me, but we're just not working off the same mental models. IMHO that's the only difference.
If the (tech) world made sense, all the predictions of WP taking the world by storm would be true. They aren't. Explain that!
Completely disagree. I think it's completely sensible and logical that WP has gone nowhere so far. I've been saying over and over again, for years, what MS would have to do (I think you're aware of my opinions on that so I won't reiterate), they never have, and here we are...
There's your explanation :wink:
But it doesn't work that way (often). Microsoft's universal apps and so-called single OS (which it really isn't) make perfect sense. Who wouldn't jump on that?
I definitely wouldn't jump on that! At this point it's just far too uncertain where MS is headed with their mobile efforts, and whether or not those platforms will even be around 10, 5 or two years from now. That uncertainty stems mostly from Microsoft's track record of frequently dropping support for technologies and products on a whim, for which their mobile efforts having a low market share and bleeding money may provide further "encouragement". If it were just about market share, then CTO's couldn't care less. However, until MS provides guarantees that they will be making significant investments in mobile for years to come, CTO's are absolutely justified in avoiding the platform.
Until now, all I've said is that universal apps respresent , for the first time since WP's inception, a compelling feature that is unique to WP (for corporations, but irrelevant for consumers). I've not yet made any predictions about what impact universal apps will have in the enterprise space.
My point is only that universal apps give MS, for the first time, a real shot at convincing CTO's that MS actually has something worthwhile to offer corporations, other than just devices that are cheaper than iPhones and easier to support than Android. That's why, for the first time, the choice of mobile OS in the enterprise space may not be quite that irrelevant. That's the only point we really disagree on and that's all I'm saying.
Whether MS can turn that into a success I do not know. I don't know enough to have an opinion on that yet. Without the guarantees I mentioned, which I don't know MS is giving, there will be no such success.