My mobile OS market share predictions for the next 10 years

[anon(5969054)]

About the bad marketing.

I think Microsoft doesn't market WP much on purpose. They know lots of people would be disappointed and turn their back to the OS forever. I think they secretly know the OS is not ready for the masses. I think once they are convinced of their own product, they will market the crap out of it. Maybe with windows 10. Maybe one year after its release when it has grown more stable and already has triggered some app growth.

 

[tgp]

About the bad marketing.

I think Microsoft doesn't market WP much on purpose. They know lots of people would be disappointed and turn their back to the OS forever. I think they secretly know the OS is not ready for the masses. I think once they are convinced of their own product, they will market the crap out of it. Maybe with windows 10. Maybe one year after its release when it has grown more stable and already has triggered some app growth.

This is actually my opinion as well. I believe that Microsoft knows it's too early to push WP too hard. They might just be waiting until WP is ready to run with the big boys.

 

[ajst222]

Definitely interesting, but the OP seems to be coming up with his predictions based on the improvements/developments of Windows 10 and assuming that Android and iOS are completely stagnant. They will be developing too. Only time will tell what they morph into as well

 

[anon(5969054)]

Definitely interesting, but the OP seems to be coming up with his predictions based on the improvements/developments of Windows 10 and assuming that Android and iOS are completely stagnant. They will be developing too. Only time will tell what they morph into as well

I'm not ignoring them. I'm just thinking that Microsoft has more innovation coming. And with the foot they already have in the PC market, business and consumer, they can accelerate.

Also, the more time passes, the less big the so gap will be.

It will take a while for the market share to get to 10-20%, but then growth will accelerate.

 

[doob9911]

10 years are very long time.
Nobody can predict.
Hardware innovation, Political Revolution, War, Economic chaos
Predition is useless.

 

[fatclue_98]

10 years are very long time.
Nobody can predict.
Hardware innovation, Political Revolution, War, Economic chaos
Predition is useless.

Aren't you a ray of sunshine, jeez.

 

[wuiyang]

here's my prediction:
by 2018, people would start cracking the windows phone
by 2020, people that need to broke their phone and gain free apps required to open their phone, insert lots of wire
by 2022, people crack the phone using only modified USB
by 2024, installing an app and buy $20 modified USB could broke your phone and get free apps
by 2050, without any modify of USB, it took 10 minutes to crack it and access all system data